Ellis Park

17:50 - RESULT

Runners: 7 Distance: 0m 7f 0y Going: Firm

Form
EW Places: 1/4 ODDS - 2 PLACES

Verdict: CHUCK'S LAW is hard to look beyond. He is an interesting newcomer running for a powerful trainer, while Avery Place and Just Asap are also of interest.

1st	6. Just Asap Fav	11/4
2nd	1. Avery Place	10/1
3rd	2. Honey Dutch	5/2

Honey Dutch

Jockey: Joseph Ramos Trainer: Whitworth Beckman Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 6

5/2

Comment: Beaten 26l to finish last on his debut (Saratoga, 6f) at 22-1 last month; first-time blinkers now tried; in with a shout with that experience under his belt and down in class to claiming company.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
05/07/25	Saratoga / Stakes, Grade 3 / F		-	6 / 6	109/5	-

Favourite

11/4

Just Asap

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: Mark Casse Age/Wt: 2/8-7

11/4

Comment: Trainer among the winners with newcomers in recent seasons; related to multiple race winner Hollywood Closeup (7f-1m½f); needs considering as some good aspects to his profile and the current stable form is another tick.

2nd Favourite

10/3

Chuck's Law

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Mark Casse Age/Wt: 2/8-7

10/3

Comment: Trainer has a healthy record with newcomers; sibling of Mathurine (6f winner); strong contender as has looked an intriguing prospect during trackwork and the stable is hot at the moment.

Props

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: J Desormeaux Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 3

9/2

Comment: Third of eight at the first time of asking running here over 5½f at 17-2 last month; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
21/07/25	Ellis Park / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F		-	3 / 8	216/25	-

Sparkling Speed

Jockey: Erik Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 2/8-7

9/1

Comment: Nicely bred (by Mitole); trainer does well here with debutants; this one is best watched, unless market signals suggest otherwise.

Avery Place

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Kenneth McPeek Age/Wt: 2/8-7

10/1

Comment: Breeding suggests he may improve with time; stable has a good record with newcomers here; should be in the mix with signs of encouragement in profile and jockey does well from inner gates here.

El Chavo

Jockey: Brooke Stillion Trainer: Karyn Wittek Age/Wt: 2/8-7

20/1

Comment: Making his racecourse bow; bred to improve with age; requires market confidence to make him of interest.

Ellis Park

18:19 - RESULT

Runners: 8 Distance: 1m 0f 0y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: AIR OF DEFIANCE is strongly fancied to come out on top. He has the clear edge on recent form and has won over this C&D, while Cascade Cruiser and Interlock Empire should also be in the mix.

1st	4. Air Of Defiance Fav	11/10
2nd	5. King Peanut	9/1
3rd	1. Interlock Empire 2nd Fav	7/2

Favourite

11/10

Air Of Defiance

Jockey: J R Leparoux Trainer: Joe Sharp Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 6-85641

11/10

Comment: Won in good style in a claimer upped to this trip last month; strong claims as despite being up in class he appears to be in good form.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
03/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 9	99/100	-
18/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	109/50	-
10/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	6 / 6	79/50	-
12/04/25	Aqueduct / Allowance / F	-	5 / 7	99/10	-
18/01/25	Aqueduct / Allowance / F	-	8 / 11	107/10	-
07/12/24	Aqueduct / Allowance / F	-	6 / 10	27/5	-

2nd Favourite

7/2

Interlock Empire

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: Robertino Diodoro Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 066344

7/2

Comment: Admirably consistent and one-time useful performer; creditable fourth on first outing for new trainer last month in a starter allowance; must be respected as jockey's C&D record from low draws is useful and his recent effort was encouraging.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
14/07/25	Ellis Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	4 / 7	156/25	-
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	177/100	-
24/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	3 / 8	34/5	-
22/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	89/10	-
07/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 9	8/1	-
24/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	10 / 10	209/10	-

Cascade Cruiser

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Linda Rice Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 646-28

9/2

Comment: Finished last of eight at Churchill Downs over 1m½f (claimer) in May; class dropper as runs for a $16k tag here; his best form stacks up so rates a likely contender.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
18/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	8 / 8	633/100	-
11/01/25	Fair Grounds / Claiming / F	-	2 / 7	43/10	-
07/12/24	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 6	163/10	-
25/08/24	Fanduel Sportsbook And Horse Racing / Stakes / F	-	4 / 5	43/5	-
07/07/24	Prairie Meadows / Stakes / F	-	6 / 9	519/10	-
19/05/24	Hawthorne / Allowance / F	-	1 / 7	11/10	-

King Peanut

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Michael Leahy Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 474363

9/1

Comment: Had a bunch of these behind him when third at Churchill Downs in a claimer on his first start for this trainer upped to this distance 45 days ago; one to take seriously as lower claiming tag should make this easier and lots of promise in his latest performance.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	1953/100	-
02/05/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	6 / 9	28/5	-
18/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	39/10	-
30/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 11	71/10	-
02/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	7 / 7	172/5	-
17/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 12	31/10	-

Infinite Luck

Jockey: James Graham Trainer: J Desormeaux Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 1-24718

14/1

Comment: Successful twice in his last six starts; held when eighth of nine in a claimer (Churchill Downs) 45 days ago; claiming tag drops from $20k; others appeal more.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	8 / 9	319/100	-
22/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	1 / 10	313/25	-
03/05/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	7 / 10	43/5	-
18/03/25	Fair Grounds / Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 5	36/5	-
31/01/25	Fair Grounds / Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 5	41/10	-
06/12/24	Fair Grounds / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	34/5	-

Sound Of Victory

Jockey: Erik Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 218621

14/1

Comment: Has chalked up two wins from his last five; narrow success in a claimer at Lone Star Park five weeks ago; down in class now, dropping from a $20k tag.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/06/25	Lone Star Park / Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	8/5	-
07/06/25	Lone Star Park / Claiming / F	-	2 / 5	18/5	-
20/04/25	Lone Star Park / Allowance / F	-	6 / 7	6/1	-
28/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	8 / 12	15/1	-
09/03/25	Sam Houston / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 7	37/5	-
08/02/25	Sam Houston / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 8	6/5	-

Our Dream Rye'd

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 3-99477

20/1

Comment: Finished seventh, beaten 7l, in a claimer last month; not a frequent winner and possible that there's no more in the locker; his best looks to be behind him and looks an unlikely winner.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
12/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	7 / 8	497/100	-
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	511/25	-
26/04/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	4 / 8	163/20	-
04/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	9 / 9	69/5	-
24/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	92/5	-
27/12/24	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	723/100	-

Gift Certificate

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Genaro Garcia Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 19-287

20/1

Comment: Last of seven (Churchill Downs) two months ago in a starter allowance; others appeal more as a few rivals look in good form.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
07/06/25	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	7 / 7	762/25	-
30/04/25	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	8 / 9	3143/100	-
14/03/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	189/10	-
30/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 9	5661/100	-
13/11/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Claiming / F	-	1 / 5	6/5	-
23/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 9	97/5	-

Ellis Park

18:48 - RESULT

Runners: 7 Distance: 1m 0f 0y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/4 ODDS - 2 PLACES

Verdict: Firm preference is for JOHNSON. He looks set to capitalise if the leaders go too fast and has arguably the strongest recent form (won last time), while Indy Charges On and Greatdayforhockey are also of interest.

1st	4. Indy Charges On Fav	3/1
2nd	3. Guardian	11/4
3rd	8. Brave Blend	5/2

Brave Blend

Jockey: J R Leparoux Trainer: Marianne Scherer Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 639737

5/2

Comment: Failed to land a blow when seventh of ten over 1m½f here (claimer, not far behind Good Point) last month; just the one win to his name and form has been a bit mixed lately; found this claiming level has been beyond him recently so hard to recommend.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	7 / 10	249/100	-
29/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	937/100	-
09/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	7 / 7	1561/100	-
21/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 9	137/10	-
02/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	31/10	-
01/02/25	Santa Anita / Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 10	5/1	-

Guardian

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez Trainer: Rick Hiles Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 0-516

11/4

Comment: Few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; came home sixth, beaten 17l, in a claimer 21 days ago on debut for this trainer; claiming value now drops to $30k; must be high on list if excused most recent run as achieved maiden claimer success two runs back and shown he can get his head in front.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
14/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	329/50	-
25/06/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	79/100	-
30/05/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	5 / 9	46/25	-
01/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	10 / 10	393/100	-

Favourite

3/1

Indy Charges On

Jockey: Sophie Doyle Trainer: Christophe Davis Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 0-1252

3/1

Comment: Finishing second was a good effort at Churchill Downs over 1m½f (claimer, muddy track) 52 days ago; tag drops from $40k to $30k here; has to be respected.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	1039/100	-
01/05/25	Hawthorne / Allowance / F	-	5 / 8	37/10	-
10/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	61/4	-
15/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 10	473/50	-
21/12/24	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	10 / 10	75/4	-

2nd Favourite

5/1

Pierce Elevated

Jockey: Walter Rodriguez Trainer: Marcelino Salas Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 636144

5/1

Comment: Has been consistent of late; fair effort when beaten 5l at Churchill Downs five weeks ago in a claimer; class riser as runs for a $30k tag here; likely to be in contention as shown he can win fairly recently.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
26/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	4 / 5	3/1	-
22/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	2131/100	-
08/05/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 10	456/25	-
08/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 10	33/10	-
07/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 12	421/25	-
25/01/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 12	4641/100	-

Greatdayforhockey

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Marcelino Salas Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 16-439

8/1

Comment: Was held in ninth (dropped to 5½f) three weeks ago on his debut for new trainer in an allowance race; first-time blinkers now tried; capable if in the mood so has a competitive shout.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	9 / 11	393/4	-
22/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	179/50	-
09/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	4 / 7	1631/100	-
24/11/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	6 / 6	2467/100	-
16/10/24	Keeneland / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	5/2	-
13/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 11	2723/100	-

Oliverio

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Elias Lopez Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 97431

10/1

Comment: Has displayed improved form on last two starts; 28-1 winner by just over 5l in a maiden special weight at Thistledown when opening his account at the fifth time of asking two months ago upped to this trip; easy to oppose despite that win at Thistledown.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/05/25	Thistledown / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 7	269/10	-
17/04/25	Hawthorne / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	37/10	-
06/04/25	Hawthorne / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 6	127/10	-
20/03/25	Fair Grounds / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 7	48/5	-
15/02/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 9	1049/10	-

Good Point

Jockey: Thiago Canuto Trainer: Kristine Kaufeld Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 1593-6

33/1

Comment: Unable to land a blow when sixth of ten here over 1m½f (claimer) four weeks ago on debut for this trainer; running on dirt for the first time; this line-up contains some strong opposition so may be vulnerable.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	6 / 10	327/5	-
29/11/24	Woodbine / Claiming / F	-	3 / 11	1459/20	-
08/11/24	Woodbine / Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	241/20	-
18/10/24	Woodbine / Claiming / F	-	5 / 8	123/10	-
04/10/24	Woodbine / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	143/20	-
06/09/24	Woodbine / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 9	29/10	-

Johnson

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: David Jacobson Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 430361

Comment: Has displayed improved form on last two starts; cosy winner in a maiden special weight when breaking his duck at Charles Town four weeks ago; plenty of appeal.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
03/07/25	Charles Town / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 4	1/10	-
22/06/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	471/25	-
08/06/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	339/20	-
18/05/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	10 / 10	2889/100	-
28/02/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 8	31/20	-
26/01/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	4 / 12	27/5	-

Ellis Park

19:16 - RESULT

Runners: 7 Distance: 0m 5f 110y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/4 ODDS - 2 PLACES

Verdict: TROUBLESHOOTING is a confident pick. He is chasing a second win over this C&D and could see the likely strong pace tee things up nicely for him.

1st	3. Litigation Fav	5/6
2nd	5. Troubleshooting 2nd Fav	9/4
3rd	4. Hit That Review	20/1

Favourite

5/6

Litigation

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez Trainer: Brian Lynch Age/Wt: 3/8-8 F: 5611

5/6

Comment: Easy allowance race winner 22 days ago; out to complete a hat-trick and has made a pleasing start to his career with two wins from four starts; should be thereabouts.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	1 / 11	797/100	-
30/05/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	67/25	-
29/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 10	129/10	-
01/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 8	237/10	-

2nd Favourite

9/4

Troubleshooting

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Gregory Foley Age/Wt: 3/8-8 F: 8-1241

9/4

Comment: Accounted for Star's Image and Hit That Review last month when a just over 2l winner in a stakes; on target twice in his last four outings; drop in class is a positive and looks a big player.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Stakes / F	-	1 / 7	201/100	-
11/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	4 / 12	257/100	-
16/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 12	79/20	-
10/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 8	363/100	-
23/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 11	881/100	-
01/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 9	63/20	-

Star's Image

Jockey: Walter Rodriguez Trainer: Larry Rivelli Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 11-634

13/2

Comment: Finished fourth, beaten just under 3l to Troubleshooting four weeks ago in a stakes; down in class this time but passed over.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Stakes / F	-	4 / 7	279/100	-
06/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	3 / 6	321/25	-
05/01/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	6 / 9	63/10	-
16/12/24	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	2/5	-
22/11/24	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 9	2/1	-

Hoff

Jockey: Erik Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 3/8-8 F: 287-11

14/1

Comment: Aiming to complete a hat-trick and shown recent signs of improvement; scored by a slim margin in an allowance race at Lone Star Park three weeks ago; despite that Lone Star Park success, he can be taken on.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
12/07/25	Lone Star Park / Allowance / F	-	1 / 11	18/5	-
31/05/25	Lone Star Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 9	4/5	-
01/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 11	491/50	-
25/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 11	311/100	-
11/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 12	511/100	-

Taylor's Version

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: Dale Romans Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 81

14/1

Comment: Nicely bred (by Into Mischief); opened account at the second time of asking in a maiden special weight at Churchill Downs five weeks ago; others are preferred despite that win last time.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
27/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	1 / 11	823/100	-
18/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	8 / 12	829/100	-

Hit That Review

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Brendan Walsh Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 2-5746

20/1

Comment: Safely held here last month behind Troubleshooting when beaten 6l (sixth of seven) in a stakes; should go close now down in grade and has proved he knows how to win.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Stakes / F	-	6 / 7	579/25	-
16/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	4 / 12	557/100	-
29/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	7 / 8	53/10	-
01/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	5 / 7	7/1	-
29/11/24	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	2 / 10	19/5	-
19/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	29/25	-

Shan

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Ed Moger Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 769221

25/1

Comment: Has achieved three wins from 13 career runs; got home in front by half a length last month at Horseshoe Indianapolis in an allowance optional claimer; trainer is ticking along nicely; despite that Horseshoe Indianapolis success, not one to rely on.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/07/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	5/2	-
11/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	58/25	-
18/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	129/50	-
04/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	4357/100	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	6 / 7	1607/100	-
23/02/25	Turfway Park / Stakes / F	-	7 / 11	2321/50	-

Ellis Park

19:44 - RESULT

Runners: 6 Distance: 0m 6f 0y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/4 ODDS - 2 PLACES

Verdict: ITWILLBEFUN is hard to look beyond. She is going for another success at this trip and can turn around placings with Indescriptable from last time they met.

1st	8. Dark Fury Fav	7/4
2nd	9. Ride The Broom 2nd Fav	11/4
3rd	6. Army Girl	5/1

Favourite

7/4

Dark Fury

Jockey: Christopher Emigh Trainer: Brittany Vanden Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 5-3522

7/4

Comment: Went down by half a length at Churchill Downs 45 days ago in a claimer; $50k claiming tag this time (up from $40k); should be thereabouts as recent effort was encouraging.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	281/100	-
09/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	621/100	-
23/04/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	5 / 10	123/10	-
23/02/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 10	403/100	-
01/11/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	239/100	-
20/09/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	2 / 10	147/20	-

2nd Favourite

11/4

Ride The Broom

Jockey: Chris Landeros Trainer: Ian Wilkes Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 76210

11/4

Comment: Finished last of ten here over 1m½f (allowance optional claimer) 29 days ago on debut for this trainer; seems to be improving based on last two runs; class dropper as runs for a $50k tag here; may have to settle for supporting role.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
06/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	10 / 10	658/25	-
04/06/25	Churchill Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	13/10	-
01/05/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	12/5	-
30/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 12	91/5	-
08/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 9	92/5	-

Musical Prayer

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 5/8-10 F: 33-245

9/2

Comment: Solid run when fifth in a claimer (muddy track) four months ago at Oaklawn Park on debut for this trainer; this is her level and normally pretty consistent; returns from a layoff here; claiming value now rises to $50k.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	5 / 8	12/5	-
07/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	16/5	-
03/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Claiming / F	-	2 / 9	12/5	-
14/12/24	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 12	551/100	-
15/08/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	3 / 6	57/10	-
28/06/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	11 / 11	529/25	-

Indescriptable

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez Trainer: Carol Cobb Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 55-083

5/1

Comment: Posted respectable effort when beaten just over 3l (sloppy track) with Itwillbefun just behind three weeks ago in a claimer.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
12/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 7	2019/100	-
23/02/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	8 / 10	751/50	-
03/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	10 / 10	117/5	-
28/06/24	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	5 / 9	961/50	-
07/01/24	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	5 / 7	339/10	-
08/12/23	Gulfstream Park / Maiden, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	139/10	-

Army Girl

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: Tracey Wisner Age/Wt: 5/8-10 F: 05-533

5/1

Comment: Finished third but wasn't beaten too far (7l) last month (Horseshoe Indianapolis) in an allowance race; others appeal more.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
09/07/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	3 / 7	31/5	-
12/06/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	3 / 6	773/50	-
15/05/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	5 / 6	56/5	-
13/09/24	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	3239/100	-
05/08/24	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	11 / 11	2999/100	-
24/06/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	6 / 9	169/10	-

Cotillard

Jockey: Joseph Bealmear Trainer: Luis Seglin Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 8-8574

14/1

Comment: Not beaten too far when fourth here in an allowance race four weeks ago upped to 1m; first run in a claimer; tries dirt for the first time; passed over as a few rivals look in good form.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 6	1227/50	-
11/06/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Allowance / F	-	7 / 9	47/5	-
15/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	5 / 12	11097/100	-
16/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	8 / 12	497/5	-
30/11/24	Churchill Downs / Stakes / F	-	8 / 10	1087/5	-
07/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	9 / 11	507/20	-

Sultry Kitten

Jockey: Nik Juarez Trainer: Coty Rosin Age/Wt: 5/8-10 F: 563/12

Comment: Not beaten far over 5½f at Prairie Meadows (starter allowance) 22 days ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice and remains far from exposed; the yard has enjoyed plenty of winners of late; hard to ignore.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
14/07/25	Prairie Meadows / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 7	11/5	-
21/06/25	Prairie Meadows / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	11/10	-
01/12/23	Del Mar / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 7	48/5	-
07/10/23	Santa Anita / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 7	53/5	-
02/09/23	Del Mar / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 7	31/5	-
23/07/23	Del Mar / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	11 / 12	39/5	-

Myiyla

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Gregory Foley Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 737-1

Comment: Caused a surprise when scoring at 16-1 at Fair Grounds in March in a maiden special weight; running on dirt for the first time; returns from an absence here; likely to be involved.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
08/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	-	327/25	-
06/03/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 9	169/10	-
09/06/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 12	653/25	-
22/03/24	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 8	51/5	-
03/03/24	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 10	9/2	-

Itwillbefun

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Jr Richard Dutrow, Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 7-56245

Comment: Finished just behind Indescriptable when fifth in a claimer back down to this trip (stumbled at the start, sloppy track) last month; much respected as shown some signs of promise and her most recent trackwork was pleasing.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
12/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	269/100	-
25/05/25	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	4 / 11	409/50	-
18/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	2 / 4	93/50	-
17/02/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 8	131/5	-
20/01/25	Fair Grounds / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 8	59/5	-
29/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Stakes / F	-	7 / 7	61/10	-

Ellis Park

20:12 - RESULT

Runners: 8 Distance: 1m 0f 110y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: Firm preference is for SO SPECIAL. He made a positive debut and is expected to confirm authority with Still Sober after they met last time out.

1st	7. So Special Fav	6/4
2nd	6. Moderator	4/1
3rd	4. Still Sober	16/1

Favourite

6/4

So Special

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Kenneth McPeek Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 2

6/4

Comment: Not beaten too far into runner-up on his debut here (14-5) last month; closely matched with Still Sober on that result; clear chance as shown signs of ability in his exercise.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
06/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	2 / 8	289/100	-

2nd Favourite

11/4

Da Prince Is Right

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Michael Maker Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 5

11/4

Comment: Never landed a blow on his debut when fifth of ten over 5f with blinkers tried at Churchill Downs at 13-2 45 days ago; progress needed on this second career run.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	5 / 10	133/20	-

Moderator

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Doug O'Neill Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 7

4/1

Comment: Not far behind Strong in May when seventh with blinkers tried at Churchill Downs; related to Grade 2 winner First Peace; should benefit for having a run under his belt.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
23/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	7 / 10	302/25	-

Strong

Jockey: James Graham Trainer: J Desormeaux Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 42

13/2

Comment: 6l second at Churchill Downs over 5f (maiden special weight) 45 days ago (had two of these rivals behind); one to note now that he knows his job.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	2 / 10	3577/100	-
23/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	4 / 10	1492/25	-

Bedeviled

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 9

12/1

Comment: Seemed to find life tough on his debut five weeks ago at Churchill Downs; has a nice pedigree (by Gun Runner); sire does get winners on the turf; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
29/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	9 / 11	348/25	-

Happy Prince

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: Mark Casse Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 77

14/1

Comment: Was held in seventh over 5f at Churchill Downs (maiden special weight) 45 days ago; nicely bred (by Cairo Prince); wears first-time blinkers; chance with that experience under his belt and has a pedigree which suggests there is more to come.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	7 / 10	339/10	-
09/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	7 / 8	251/100	-

Still Sober

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Eduardo Caramori Age/Wt: 2/8-7 F: 4

16/1

Comment: Some way behind the runner-up, So Special, in course maiden special weight over 1m when beaten 8l on his debut at 13-1 29 days ago; capable of going well given he should have learnt plenty from that experience.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
06/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	4 / 8	313/25	-

Very Tall Somethin

Jockey: Thiago Canuto Trainer: Pavel Matejka Age/Wt: 2/8-7

40/1

Comment: First start in public for this two-year-old son of Real Solution; others look more obvious on paper; the betting may be the best guide.

Politics

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Michael McCarthy Age/Wt: 2/8-7

Comment: Newcomers from this stable regularly hit the target; attractively bred son of Tacitus; from the same family as Tino, a winner over 6f; interesting to see how he figures in the betting with others looking more obvious on paper.

Ellis Park

20:42 - RESULT

Runners: 11 Distance: 0m 6f 110y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: PRETTY SURE could capitalise if the leaders go too fast and is a one-time course winner. Shared Vision and Velvet Devil can't be ruled out either.

1st	2. Mega Mil	12/1
2nd	7. Foie Gras 2nd Fav	11/4
3rd	11. Moon Over Choctaw	20/1

Favourite

15/8

Velvet Devil

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Michael Tomlinson Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 221

15/8

Comment: Got home in front by three-quarters of a length in a maiden special weight at Keeneland when getting off the mark at the third time of asking in April; she can make a bold bid.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
24/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	133/50	-
15/02/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 9	22/5	-
20/01/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 10	259/10	-

2nd Favourite

11/4

Foie Gras

Jockey: Erik Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 1-25272

11/4

Comment: Close up runner-up in front of Pretty Sure last month in an allowance race; needs to be respected.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 6	347/100	-
22/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	7 / 8	59/25	-
02/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 11	104/25	-
07/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	587/50	-
31/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 10	47/10	-
01/12/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 11	977/50	-

Shared Vision

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: George Arnold Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 1-

10/3

Comment: Caused a surprise when scoring at the first time of asking at Churchill Downs over this distance at 25-1 in November; back from an absence here; capable of making an impact.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
24/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	1 / 12	2551/100	-

Pretty Sure

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Brendan Walsh Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 14-4

13/2

Comment: Out of the frame (beaten 7l in fourth) last month in an allowance race; has winning track form; her best form stacks up so is a leading player.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
13/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 6	64/25	-
14/09/24	Churchill Downs / Stakes, Grade 3 / F	-	4 / 14	269/50	-
25/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 11	351/100	-

Shezalittlestinker

Jockey: Nik Juarez Trainer: Wayne Catalano Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 5524-1

12/1

Comment: Scored narrowly in a maiden special weight, breaking her duck at the seventh time of asking (dropped back to this distance) last month; has raised her game the last twice; jockey does well from inside draws here so is capable of making an impact.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
05/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 8	7/2	-
20/12/24	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 10	779/100	-
10/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 6	29/10	-
14/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 10	2341/100	-
19/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 10	341/20	-
13/07/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	10 / 12	473/50	-

Mega Mil

Jockey: Axel Concepcion Trainer: John Servis Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 21-

12/1

Comment: Registered first success at the second time of asking in a maiden special weight at Aqueduct when winning easily in December; returns from an absence here; likely to go well.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
27/12/24	Aqueduct / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	1 / 4	11/2	-
15/11/24	Laurel Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	2 / 10	43/10	-

Abitibi

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez Trainer: Gustavo Esquivel Age/Wt: 6/8-10 F: 579511

20/1

Comment: Out to complete a hat-trick; sprang 13-1 surprise over 6f at Churchill Downs (starter allowance) 47 days ago; workout history raises concerns this race may be needed so others more appealing.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
18/06/25	Churchill Downs / Starter Allowance / F	-	1 / 6	1279/100	-
24/05/25	Churchill Downs / Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	1214/25	-
18/04/25	Keeneland / Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	548/25	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 11	411/10	-
28/02/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 10	799/25	-
31/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 12	351/20	-

Moon Over Choctaw

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Philip D Amato Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 65-421

20/1

Comment: Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; got home in front by 1l at Oaklawn Park over 1m (maiden claimer) in March when getting off the mark at the fifth time of asking on debut for this trainer; returns from a layoff; is respected as showed promise in workout last month and she can handle the step up in class.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
16/03/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 8	8/5	-
07/02/25	Oaklawn Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	2 / 6	13/5	-
03/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 9	91/10	-
05/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	2353/100	-
03/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 11	2277/50	-

Mindy's Union

Jockey: Sophie Doyle Trainer: Glenn Wismer Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 4-150

33/1

Comment: Has a nice pedigree (by Union Rags); beaten a long way over 1m½f at Churchill Downs (allowance race) 46 days ago on debut for this trainer; workout history raises concerns this race may be needed so she faces an uphill struggle.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	10 / 10	5871/100	-
02/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 11	409/50	-
22/03/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 9	11/1	-
24/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 10	543/100	-

Planet Clare

Jockey: Adam Beschizza Trainer: Jena Antonucci Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 3244-8

40/1

Comment: Finished last of eight in an allowance race at Churchill Downs when not far behind Foie Gras 43 days ago on debut for this trainer; opposable as this looks a fair heat.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
22/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	8 / 8	3341/50	-
18/12/24	Parx / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 9	36/5	-
17/11/24	Aqueduct / Allowance / F	-	4 / 6	26/5	-
03/10/24	Laurel Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 6	7/5	-
14/09/24	Laurel Park / Allowance / F	-	3 / 7	8/1	-
24/08/24	Colonial Downs / Allowance / F	-	5 / 8	42/5	-

Shan's Quest

Jockey: Walter Rodriguez Trainer: Tanner Tracy Age/Wt: 4/8-10 F: 41

50/1

Comment: Opened account at the second time of asking over 5½f at Prairie Meadows (maiden special weight, bumped at the start) four weeks ago, scoring by 2l; despite that Prairie Meadows success, may have to settle for supporting role at best.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
05/07/25	Prairie Meadows / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	1 / 8	49/10	-
12/06/25	Hawthorne / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	4 / 9	47/10	-

Ellis Park

21:12 - RESULT

Runners: 12 Distance: 1m 0f 0y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: EXPATRIATE is strongly fancied to come out on top. She might find the race opens up for her with the likelihood of plenty of competition for the lead and she knows how to win. Winning Streep, Humbled and Quietly must be on the shortlist.

1st	4. New Rome Fav	2/1
2nd	1. Expatriate 2nd Fav	9/4
3rd	5. Quietly	15/2

Favourite

2/1

New Rome

Jockey: Adam Beschizza Trainer: Jena Antonucci Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 5-1402

2/1

Comment: A proven winner with a wins-runs record of 6-15; had a couple of these behind her when runner-up at Churchill Downs 46 days ago in an allowance race; notable jockey booking; should be on the premises.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 10	891/50	-
30/04/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	11 / 11	257/25	-
06/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	4 / 7	5/2	-
07/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 6	12/5	-
26/04/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	5 / 9	173/100	-
16/03/24	Gulfstream Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 7	6/5	-

2nd Favourite

9/4

Expatriate

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Trainer: Chad Brown Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 1P5-24

9/4

Comment: From a respected stable and remains far from exposed; split New Rome and Birkin Girl over 1m½f at Churchill Downs (allowance race) 46 days ago; difficult to oppose as shown she can get her head in front and jockey does well from inner gates here.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	4 / 10	18/5	-
30/04/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 11	291/50	-
18/07/24	Saratoga / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 10	21/2	-
17/05/24	Pimlico / Stakes / F	-	P / 7	5/1	-
14/02/24	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 10	19/5	-

Winning Streep

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: John Servis Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 612-42

6/1

Comment: Produced a string of consistent efforts and almost victorious in a stakes in November; was on the premises (second, beaten 1½l) last month in an allowance race; ought to give it a shot.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	2 / 6	31/20	-
04/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	4 / 10	136/5	-
28/11/24	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	2 / 11	337/10	-
02/11/24	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 10	31/5	-
13/10/24	Belmont At The Big A / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 10	19/2	-
08/09/24	Laurel Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 10	24/5	-

Quietly

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: Riley Mott Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 74-626

15/2

Comment: Was tailed off at Churchill Downs upped to 1m3f 53 days ago in an allowance race; shown she can win fairly recently and no surprise to see her go well.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
12/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	6 / 6	61/10	-
18/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	2 / 11	154/25	-
18/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	6 / 12	1417/100	-
05/08/24	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	4 / 11	589/100	-
07/07/24	Ellis Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	228/25	-
25/05/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	1197/100	-

Humbled

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Robert Medina Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 3-2621

10/1

Comment: Got the job done by just under 2l in a maiden special weight, getting off the mark at the seventh attempt four weeks ago; seems to be improving based on last two runs; deserves respect.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
03/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	147/20	-
22/05/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 6	12/5	-
17/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 11	332/25	-
16/01/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 7	449/50	-
10/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 10	1257/100	-
26/09/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 10	81/10	-

Birkin Girl

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Ben Colebrook Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 1-24545

14/1

Comment: Not far behind New Rome, the second, and Expatriate, the fourth, at Churchill Downs over 1m½f (allowance race) when fifth of ten 46 days ago; struggled a bit since winning a maiden special weight at Churchill Downs in November.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
20/06/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	5 / 10	2343/100	-
08/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	701/50	-
12/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	5 / 12	4157/100	-
02/03/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 8	451/100	-
26/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	2 / 7	143/25	-
30/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	374/25	-

El Joury

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Brendan Walsh Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 661-83

16/1

Comment: Beaten a fair way when third in an allowance race (Keeneland) in April; was successful three starts back and looks like a player.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
19/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	3 / 6	641/100	-
08/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	8 / 9	179/10	-
26/10/24	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 12	1347/100	-
11/09/24	Kentucky Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 10	411/100	-
19/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 8	127/50	-

Meg's A Star

Jockey: Declan Cannon Trainer: J Sisterson Age/Wt: 3/8-6 F: 1-

16/1

Comment: Got the job done on her debut by half a length at Dundalk over 7f at 6-1 in October; won only race in Ireland; Collected gets winners on the turf; returns from a layoff; needs considering.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
11/10/24	Dundalk / Unknown / F		-	1 / 14	6/1	-

Hay Stack

Jockey: Joseph Ramos Trainer: Whitworth Beckman Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 83-977

20/1

Comment: Split Expatriate and New Rome in an allowance race (Churchill Downs) when beaten 13l (seventh of 11) three months ago; one win to her name was achieved a fair way back; record demonstrates how she often finds at least one too good so not easy to fancy.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
30/04/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	7 / 11	1247/50	-
06/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	7 / 7	211/50	-
31/01/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	9 / 12	78/25	-
27/12/24	Turfway Park / Allowance / F	-	3 / 12	94/25	-
22/11/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	8 / 10	81/25	-
20/10/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	4 / 12	349/100	-

Swoonatra

Jockey: Gabriel Saez Trainer: Carl Deville Age/Wt: 6/8-11 F: 9-46284

33/1

Comment: Stumbled at the start over 1m½f at Gulfstream Park (optional claimer) when fourth of eight five weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and one to tread carefully with.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
26/06/25	Gulfstream Park / Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 8	89/5	-
26/04/25	Gulfstream Park / Stakes / F	-	8 / 9	105/2	-
21/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Starter Allowance / F	-	2 / 8	11/5	-
22/02/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 9	83/10	-
26/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	4 / 10	63/5	-
21/12/24	Gulfstream Park / Stakes, Grade 3 / F	-	9 / 10	653/10	-

Missy Bee

Jockey: Walter Rodriguez Trainer: Eric Foster Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 231483

33/1

Comment: Successful in four of her 25 career starts; close up behind Winning Streep when third four weeks ago in an allowance race.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
04/07/25	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	3 / 6	131/20	-
18/05/25	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	8 / 11	1191/50	-
23/04/25	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	4 / 10	207/10	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	1 / 12	356/25	-
22/02/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	237/20	-
07/02/25	Turfway Park / Claiming / F	-	2 / 8	13/2	-

Call Me Toni

Jockey: James Graham Trainer: Byron Hughes Age/Wt: 5/8-11 F: 43786-

66/1

Comment: Unable to land a blow in sixth at Keeneland in October in an allowance race; returns from a break today; makes limited appeal with a number of her rivals in good nick.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
26/10/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	6 / 12	3963/50	-
27/07/24	Ellis Park / Allowance / F	-	8 / 10	1869/50	-
21/06/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	7 / 9	1903/50	-
23/05/24	Churchill Downs / Allowance / F	-	3 / 5	15/2	-
24/04/24	Keeneland / Allowance / F	-	4 / 9	363/10	-
14/03/24	Turfway Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	6 / 12	1069/100	-

Lookster

Jockey: J R Leparoux Trainer: Norm Casse Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 17/55-

Comment: Solid effort over 1m½f at Oaklawn Park (allowance optional claimer) last March; been off the track a long time.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
29/03/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 10	21/2	-
03/03/24	Oaklawn Park / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	5 / 7	34/5	-
25/11/23	Churchill Downs / Allowance, Optional Claiming / F	-	7 / 11	493/100	-
29/10/23	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	1 / 11	299/50	-
26/08/23	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 7	247/100	-

Princess Buttercup

Jockey: Jane Elliott Trainer: Sarah Shaffer Age/Wt: 4/8-11 F: 9-6179

Comment: Fair effort (beaten just over 2l) in a claimer on first run for this trainer four weeks ago; moves up into an allowance race.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
03/07/25	Ellis Park / Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	127/10	-
18/04/25	Laurel Park / Claiming / F	-	7 / 9	32/5	-
19/03/25	Tampa Bay Downs / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	1 / 5	6/5	-
09/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 7	51/1	-
24/10/24	Belmont At The Big A / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	9 / 10	103/4	-
31/08/24	Colonial Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 8	31/5	-

Ellis Park

21:42 - RESULT

Runners: 12 Distance: 0m 5f 110y Going: Firm

Race Predictor

Form
EW Places: 1/5 ODDS - 3 PLACES

Verdict: TICKIN TIME BLONDE gets a firm vote. She can usually be relied on to run her race and put in an eyecatching run last time out.

1st	1. Theatrix 2nd Fav	6/1
2nd	3. Tempting Eve Fav	10/3
3rd	4. Texas Queen	3/1

Texas Queen

Jockey: Jaime Torres Trainer: W Calhoun Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 64

3/1

Comment: Solid run when fourth at Churchill Downs over 6f (maiden special weight) two months ago; warrants respect.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
08/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	4 / 7	227/25	-
09/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	6 / 10	2301/100	-

Favourite

10/3

Tickin Time Blonde

Jockey: Axel Concepcion Trainer: Victoria Oliver Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 3-9645

10/3

Comment: Has maintained her consistent level of form; not far behind Tempting Eve when fifth at Churchill Downs six weeks ago in a maiden special weight; in with a big shout if building on most recent effort and her latest trackwork was positive.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
25/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	653/100	-
05/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 9	661/100	-
24/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 12	1171/50	-
08/02/25	Tampa Bay Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 12	49/5	-
24/12/24	Tampa Bay Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 7	4/5	-
17/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 11	259/100	-

Tempting Eve

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Chris Hartman Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 233524

10/3

Comment: Normally pretty consistent and best form so far in last two starts; far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l) in a maiden special weight at Churchill Downs six weeks ago; if she can build on her latest effort then ought to be of interest.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
25/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	4 / 11	419/100	-
05/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 9	66/25	-
10/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 12	1179/100	-
19/04/25	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 6	31/10	-
23/03/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 10	9/5	-
15/02/25	Fair Grounds / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 10	11/5	-

2nd Favourite

6/1

Theatrix

Jockey: Cristian Torres Trainer: George Arnold Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 3-9523

6/1

Comment: Beaten third of six at Horseshoe Indianapolis over 1m½f (maiden special weight) 47 days ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; can be on the premises.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
18/06/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 6	19/10	-
29/05/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 5	13/1	-
18/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 12	322/25	-
16/02/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 10	14/5	-
26/12/24	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 9	23/5	-
28/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 11	2671/100	-

Enticing Beauty

Jockey: Brian Jr Hernandez Trainer: Kenneth McPeek Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 38-6

9/1

Comment: Sire gets turf winners; no impression when sixth of nine (muddy track, Oaklawn Park) in January in a maiden special weight; has had some time off; one to consider as finished third at Churchill Downs three runs ago.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
05/01/25	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 9	77/10	-
06/12/24	Oaklawn Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 11	18/5	-
17/11/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 11	642/25	-

Volatile Nite

Jockey: Keith Asmussen Trainer: Steven Asmussen Age/Wt: 3/8-7

14/1

Comment: Newcomers from this trainer regularly hit the target; shares a dam with Aztec Nights, a 5½f winner; deserves respect with signs of encouragement in profile and her sire suggests the distance might suit.

Senora D'oro

Jockey: J R Leparoux Trainer: Fausto Gutierrez Age/Wt: 4/8-12

14/1

Comment: Related to 5½f winner Il Suo Oro; Bolt d'Oro gets winners on the turf; poses a threat as has recorded some interesting trackwork.

Sevenon

Jockey: James Graham Trainer: Hutch Holsapple Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 02-

16/1

Comment: Sire gets turf winners; 15l runner-up at Keeneland over 6f (maiden claimer) in October; returns from a layoff here; others appeal more with more demanding test in store.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
23/10/24	Keeneland / Maiden, Claiming / F		-	2 / 12	4789/100	-
29/09/24	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	12 / 12	8223/100	-

Bois Blanc

Jockey: Walter Rodriguez Trainer: Justin Wojczynski Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 98-882

16/1

Comment: Beaten half a length in May at Horseshoe Indianapolis in a maiden special weight; has found improvement of late but yet to open her account after nine starts.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
19/05/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	2 / 11	54/5	-
12/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	8 / 9	243/25	-
07/02/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 12	2267/50	-
28/12/24	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 12	46/5	-
28/10/24	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 10	39/10	-
12/08/24	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 12	559/100	-

Bee Cat

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: George Arnold Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 0785

25/1

Comment: Related to Grade 3 winner English Bee and looks the part on breeding (by English Channel); finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 1m here (maiden special weight) four weeks ago; should go well.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
03/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 12	522/25	-
01/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	8 / 9	3317/100	-
22/03/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 12	1063/100	-
26/01/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	10 / 12	161/10	-

Stormy Paradise

Jockey: Luan Machado Trainer: Ed Moger Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 609637

33/1

Comment: Has arguably shown improved form the last twice but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; finished last of seven two months ago (muddy track) at Horseshoe Indianapolis in a maiden special weight.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
07/06/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 7	13/1	-
19/05/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 11	78/5	-
05/05/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 6	116/5	-
29/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	9 / 11	1003/100	-
07/03/25	Turfway Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	11 / 11	243/10	-
19/01/25	Santa Anita / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	6 / 8	173/5	-

Wella

Jockey: Ferrin Peterson Trainer: Michelle Lovell Age/Wt: 3/8-7

50/1

Comment: Sire has a good record with runners over this distance; first racecourse start; remains to be seen whether she'll be clued up enough to get off the mark - probably best watched.

Bea Trix

Jockey: Corey Lanerie Trainer: Ian Wilkes Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 050

Comment: First-time blinkers had no impact over 1m at Churchill Downs (maiden special weight) in May when finishing tenth of 12, behind Tempting Eve; best she's managed so far is fifth from three career starts; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
10/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	10 / 12	973/50	-
12/04/25	Keeneland / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 12	912/25	-
09/03/25	Gulfstream Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	11 / 12	132/5	-

Hi'iaka

Jockey: Marcelino Jr Pedroza Trainer: Felipe Salas Age/Wt: 4/8-12 F: 373955

Comment: Has proven competitive in a race of this nature but hasn't been able to quite get her neck in front; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing fifth of 11 dropped back in distance last month in a maiden special weight.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type	Class	Result	SP	OR
14/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 11	1841/100	-
05/07/25	Ellis Park / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	5 / 7	396/25	-
18/06/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	9 / 10	879/50	-
03/06/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	3 / 10	61/10	-
11/05/25	Churchill Downs / Special Weight, Maiden / F	-	7 / 11	2121/100	-
21/03/25	Turfway Park / Maiden, Claiming / F	-	3 / 9	19/10	-

Mizz Candy

Jockey: Edgar Morales Trainer: Genaro Garcia Age/Wt: 3/8-7 F: 2

Comment: Wasn't disgraced on her debut when second of five over 5f at Horseshoe Indianapolis at 6-1 last month; sire does get winners on the turf; entitled to be better for that run.

Date	Course/Race Class/Type		Class	Result	SP	OR
16/07/25	Horseshoe Indianapolis / Special Weight, Maiden / F		-	2 / 5	59/10	-